The Izzone. Orange Krush. The Paint Crew. The Grateful Red. Life on the road is tough in the Big 10. Home teams were 61-38 last season in the Big Ten. That's a 61.6% winning percentage. That sounds like a significant advantage, but is it? Let's see where the Big Ten stacks up against the other BCS conferences.
Big 12: 67.7%
SEC: 66.7%
Big East: 62.5%
Big Ten: 61.6%
ACC: 60.4%
Pac-10: 53.3%
Hmm...not all that impressive. How about 06-07 and 05-06?
06-07
SEC: 75%
Big Ten: 70.4%
Big East: 65.6%
ACC: 65.6%
Big 12: 65.6%
Pac 10: 61.1%
05-06
Big Ten: 70.4%
Big 12: 66.7%
Big East: 63.3%
ACC: 62.5%
SEC: 60.4%
Pac 10: 56.7%
Let's add it all up:
SEC: 67.4%
Big Ten: 67.2%
Big 12: 66.7%
Big East: 63.8%
ACC: 62.8%
Pac 10: 57.0%
And because we love charting here...
The SEC, Big Ten, and Big 12 are in a class of their own. The Big East and the ACC show a moderate advantage, and one wonders if Pac-10 players are cognizant of whether or not they're playing in a hostile arena.
Now, it would be easy to declare this is a result of superior fans, pat ourselves on the back, and call it a day. But we'll pick this up later.
Friday, October 17, 2008
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2 comments:
One complication is that there's probably more parity in the big 10 than, say, the pac 10. When there's less parity, a conference has fewer competitive games, so even if home teams had an advantage, you would expect close to a 50% home winning percentage (good teams win regardless, just not by as much on the road).
Instead of home win %, you could look at point differential between home and away teams, which would control for parity, although it's still not a perfect measure. If you get the same results using that measure, then it's probably fair to start speculating about the big 10's great fans (or, perhaps, biased officials).
You forgot the 14 member Maize Rage.
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